Page 61 - Risk Report 2024
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IRMSA
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                   RISK REPORT 2024/25




                 Longer-term response to address risk

                                               sustainably



      Risk drivers                         Response strategies                                       Impact


        Failure to maintain and develop      Independently owned and managed organisation for          Short term:
        rail network for goods and           ownership of targeted rail networks, direct contracts with   Low
        minerals (e.g. containers, bulk      key customers / capacity reseller models with competitive
        minerals, coal), restricting exports   logistics operators.
        and economic growth, causing
        excessive use of trucks with
        related congestion and damage to
        road networks.


        Failure to maintain and develop SA   Global best practice PPPs, international benchmarking     Medium
        Ports causing excessive delays and   and operating model engagement, best skills deployment    term: High
        inefficiencies and reduced trade     directly remunerated on performance.
        volumes.


        Failure to maintain and develop      Devolution of commuter rail to provinces / regions; local   Short term:
        rail commuter services, escalating   and international PPPs for mass transit (e.g. ‘hanging    Medium
        commuter costs and traffic           carriages’ along metro highways).
        congestion.


        Failure to maintain and develop      Correct economic impact and usage charge (tolling)        Medium
        roads at national, regional and      models for road use, community partnerships for local     term: High
        local levels.                        road maintenance using reallocated rates base


        Extreme weather perils: Rain         Parametric cover in excess of ‘100 year’-experience,      Short term:
        / floods wash away roads and         ongoing extreme weather modelling.                        Low to
        railways, damage container parks;                                                              Medium
        storm winds damage port facilities.



        Failure to maintain and develop      Re-establish rail security services with world class      Medium
        security capacity and technology     technology, independently managed.                        term: High
        on rail networks to prevent theft of
        infrastructure.

        Failure to maintain and develop      Implement best in class tracking and monitoring           Short term:
        tracking and security systems for    technology, lifestyle audits of key officials in transport and   Medium
        container traffic, facilitating fraud   logistics value chains.
        and illicit goods transport.


     Sources:
     •   Border Movement Authority Festive Season Report and Easter Report 2023/24
     •   https://www.gov.za/news/speeches/minister-bheki-cele-second-quarter-crime-statistics-20232024-17-nov-2023
     •   https://www.bma.gov.za/wp-content/uploads/2024/02/The-final-Media-statement-festive-report-28-Jan-2024-1.pdf
     •   (https://www.sanews.gov.za/south-africa/over-million-travellers-processed-over-easter-period).
     •   https://www.dailymaverick.co.za/article/2024-04-16-death-toll-climbs-to-five-after-margate-pounded-by-devastating-storm-force-winds-
         floods/
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