Page 65 - Risk Report 2024
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IRMSA
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                   RISK REPORT 2024/25




                Longer-term response to address risk


                                              sustainably


     Risk drivers                         Response strategies                                        Impact



      Climate change, water shortages,     Climate impact modelling, soil preservation plans, micro   Medium term:
      flooding, insufficient arable land, farm   irrigation, closed water storage, appropriate mutual risk   Good
      floods.                              financing models.



      Natural disasters (severe floods,    Multi-sectoral investment pools and planning for low cost,   Short term:
      droughts, heatwaves, sandstorms).    high impact disaster relief, ready-to-go relief packages incl.   High
                                           soil repair, parametric and standard risk transfer mutuals
                                           (including recovery of farmers and communities).



      Economic, trade and market volatility,   Multi co-op mutual risk equalisation instruments, medium   Medium term:
      financial instability, poor viability for   term market price hedging.                         High
      agri loan finance.




      Political instability, crime in farming   Localise security/policing to communities, funding from   Short-term:
      areas, farm abandonment.             allocations off rates bases; fractional farm ownership for   High
                                           empowerment.                                              Medium-term:
                                                                                                     High




      Energy crisis causes increased cost of   Medium term plans to move off grid for lower costs and better   Medium term:
      irrigation and storage.              reliability: subsidised solar for farmers, battery storage for   High
                                           cold rooms.


      Environmental degradation.           Soil and water testing for early warnings on changes to   Short-term:
                                           composition.                                              High



      Indiscriminate pesticide use.        Soil and water testing with tracing of pollution/ chemical   Short-term:
                                           sources.                                                  High



      Population growth.                   Dietary education plans, concentrated protein/vitamin     Short-term:
                                           supplements, home production of resilient vegetables,     High
                                           subsistence farming.                                      Medium-term:
                                                                                                     High


    Sources:
    •   Overcoming Bureaucratic Resistance: An Analysis of Barriers to Climate Change Adaptation in South Africa. 2023. Nom-
        fundo Patricia Sibiya, Dillip Kumar Das, Coleen Vogel, Sonwabo Perez Mazinyo, Leocadia Zhou, Mukalazi Ahmed Kalumba,
        Mikateko Sithole, Richard Kwame Adom, Mulala Danny Simatele. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli11070145
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