Page 34 - 2022 IRMSA Risk Report
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SECTION 2: South Africa Risk scenarios continued




          2.3 Conclusion
          The outcome of our analysis is distressing because if
          -č  Ài“>ˆ˜Ã  ՘>Li  ̜  iÝˆÌ  ̅i  ¼«iÀ«iÌÕ>  …>˜}œÛiÀ½           “Where do I look
          ÃVi˜>Àˆœ >˜` >Ì i>ÃÌ “œÛi ܏ˆ`Þ ˆ˜Ìœ ̅i ¼ >Ži ˆÌ ՘̈
          we make it, or not?’ scenario, we will not achieve our              HQT  IQQF  CPF  GXKN!
          goals as a nation with the consequences vacillating                 Not to uncontrollable
          between, economic collapse, social disruption and                   externals, but within
          failed state.                                                       O[UGNH  VQ  VJG  EJQKEGU
          /…i Ì>Li LiœÜ `i“œ˜ÃÌÀ>Ìià ̅>Ì > Ìi˜ œv ̅i y>}Ã]              VJCV CTG O[ QYP q
                                                                              Epictetus
          iÝVi«Ì ̅i ¼ œL> /Ài˜`ý y>} ܈ i>` ̜ > ÃVi˜>Àˆœ
          ܅iÀi  Üi  V>˜˜œÌ  >V…ˆiÛi  œÕÀ  ˜>̈œ˜>  œLiV̈Ûið
          Arguably, the reality is that all our problems are
          internal, meaning that they are within our control and
          ŜՏ`  ̅iÀivœÀi  Li  >``ÀiÃÃi`  ܈̅œÕÌ  `i>Þ°  7i
          must collectively  introspect and change our internal
          dialogue as a country, to prevent the risks that we face
          vÀœ“ ÌÀˆ}}iÀˆ˜} ̅i y>}à ̅>Ì Üˆ “>Ži œÕÀ ܜÀÃ̇V>Ãi
          ÃVi˜>Àˆœ LiVœ“i œÕÀ œ˜}‡ÌiÀ“ Ài>ˆÌÞ°


          Consequence for NDP Priorities (MTSF 2019-2024) and Vision 2030
          Legend
          Not affected   Will likely achieve   May achieve >50%   May achieve <50%   Will not achieve

                                                           Consequence for NDP Priorities 2030 (MTSF 2019-2024)


                                   Perpetual Hangover  Owning Our Future  Building a capable,   i̅ˆV>] >˜` `iÛiœ«‡  mental state  Economic   transformation and job   creation  Education, skills, and   Consolidating a social   wage through reliable,   quality basic services  Spatial integration,   local government  Social cohesion and   safe communities  A better Africa and
          Key Scenario Driver
          (Flag)                           Fake It Until We Make It                         human settlements and






           i>`iÀň« V>«>VˆÌÞ                                                health                           world
          Institutional capacity
          Politics

          Social cohesion
          National policy
          Service delivery
          Inequality

           Vœ˜œ“Þ
           œL> ÌÀi˜`Ã
           ˆ“>Ìi V…>˜}i
          />Li £\   , -Ƃ ÃVi˜>ÀˆœÃ q £ä y>}à ­ŽiÞ `ÀˆÛiÀî ˆ“«>VÌ œ˜ VœÕ˜ÌÀÞ œLiV̈Ûià q -Փ“>ÀÞ°







      32   IRMSA RISK REPORT • SOUTH AFRICA RISKS • EIGHTH EDITION
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