Page 57 - 2022 IRMSA Risk Report
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South Africa Top Risks




                                                 EXPERT OPINION

















          Adv. Modidima Mannya                  Jonathan Foster – Pedley              Totyelwa Dodo
          Private Practice Advocate             Dean and Director,                    Risk Intelligence
                                                Henley Business School                Committee
                                                South Africa                          Member, IRMSA
          ,>«ˆ` V…>˜}ià ÀiµÕˆÀi Vœ˜Ìˆ˜ÕœÕà …Õ“>˜ ÀiÜÕÀVià V>«>VˆÌÞ   remain relevant amidst the only certainty: change. But it is
          and capability-building to manage public resources effectively   ˜ˆ}… œ˜ ˆ“«œÃÈLi ˆv ÞœÕ V>˜˜œÌ w˜` > œL ˆ˜ ̅i wÀÃÌ «>Vi°
          >˜` iVœ˜œ“ˆV>Þ° -ÕvwVˆi˜Ì >˜` ÀiiÛ>˜Ì ΈÃ V>˜ i݈ÃÌ ˆv
          there are adequate resources to fund their development and   Legacy institutions like universities are geared to only
          maintenance. The current situation in SA and across the world   «ÀœÛˆ`ˆ˜}  µÕ>ˆwV>̈œ˜Ã]  ˜œÌ  VÀi`i˜Ìˆ>Ã]  >˜`  ViÀÌ>ˆ˜Þ  ˜œÌ
          points to ongoing incapacity and the inability to develop   encouraging lifelong learning. But there are other institutions
          V>«>Li ÃÌ>Ìià ܈̅ ÃÕvwVˆi˜Ì >˜` ÀiiÛ>˜Ì ΈÃ ̜ >``ÀiÃà   ̅>Ì `œ°  v Üi >Ài ̜ i“LÀ>Vi ̅ˆÃ iÀ> œv i>À˜ˆ˜}] ՘i>À˜ˆ˜}]
          >˜  œ˜}œˆ˜}  iVœ˜œ“ˆV  `iVˆ˜i]  Ài뜘`  ̜  À>«ˆ`  V…>˜}i   >˜`  Àii>À˜ˆ˜}]  Üi  ˜ii`  ̜  ÌÕÀ˜  ̜  œÕÀ  /6 /  ÃiV̜À  >Ã
          and to restore sustainable economic growth and recovery –   -܈ÌâiÀ>˜`]  iÜ <i>>˜`] ,ÕÃÈ>]  …ˆ˜>] >˜`  ˆ˜>˜` …>Ûi
          particularly following the various global and regional based   >  `œ˜i°  "ÕÀ  /6 /  ÃiV̜À  “ˆ}…Ì  Li  >  ÜÕÀVi  œv  `iÀˆÃˆœ˜
          `ˆÃ>ÃÌiÀÃ]  ˜>ÌÕÀ>  >˜`  œÌ…iÀ܈Ãi°   "6  ‡£™]  ܅ˆV…  >“œÃÌ   LiV>ÕÃi œv ˆÌà }i˜iÀ> `ÞÃv՘V̈œ˜] LÕÌ Ì…iÀi ˆÃ ˜œÌ…ˆ˜} v>Ži
          LÀœÕ}…Ì ̅i ܜÀ` iVœ˜œ“Þ ̜ > ÃÌ>˜`Ã̈] ˆÃ ̅i Vi>ÀiÃÌ   nor laughable about the amount of funding it receives every
          iÝ>“«i œv ̅i }œL> >VŽ œv ÃÕvwVˆi˜Ì >˜` ÀiiÛ>˜Ì ΈÃ ̜   Þi>À q ,nää“ q ˜œÀ ˆÌà vœœÌ«Àˆ˜Ì œv xä Vœi}ið º/…iÀi½Ã > v>À
          Ài뜘` ̈“iœÕÏÞ] ivviV̈ÛiÞ >˜` “i>˜ˆ˜}vՏÞ ̜ «œÌi˜Ìˆ>   better chance at getting employed and even starting your
          V>>“ˆÌˆià q ̅œÃi ̅>Ì ˆ“«>VÌ œ˜ iVœ˜œ“ˆV ÃÌ>LˆˆÌÞ] }ÀœÜ̅   œÜ˜ LÕȘiÃà ˆv ÞœÕ i>À˜ > ÌÀ>`i°  Ì ˆÃ VœÕ˜ÌiÀ‡ˆ˜ÌՈ̈Ûi] LÕÌ ˆÌ
          and recovery.                                       is really the law of demand: far too many people think white-
                                                              Vœ>À œLà >Ài ̅i Ü>Þ Ìœ }œ] “i>˜ˆ˜} ̅>Ì v>À viÜiÀ ޜÕ̅
           ˜  -č]  `œ  Üi  …>Ûi  ̅i  ΈÃ  ̜  «œÜiÀ  œÕÀ  iVœ˜œ“Þ  ˜œÜ   >Ài V…œœÃˆ˜} LÕi‡Vœ>À V>ÀiiÀð +Õ>ˆwi` ÌÀ>`iëiœ«i >Ài
          >˜`  ˆ˜Ìœ  ̅i  vÕÌÕÀi¶  /…i  LÀÕÌ>]  ˜Õ“iÀˆV>  ÌÀÕ̅  ÃÕ}}iÃÌà   in far greater demand than ever before – and can charge
          Üi `œ˜½Ì° "v £ää “>ÌÀˆVՏ>˜Ìà ˆ˜ ̅i  >Ãà œv ÓäÓÓ] œ˜Þ Èä   more because of it. It’s also easier to access vocational
          ܈ ÜÀˆÌi ̅iˆÀ iÝ>“à ˆ˜  œÛi“LiÀ° "v ̅œÃi] œ˜Þ ÎÇ Üˆ   ÌÀ>ˆ˜ˆ˜} LiV>ÕÃi œv ̅i ˆ˜VÀi`ˆLi ˜iÌܜÀŽ œv /6 / Vœi}iÃ
          «>Ãð £Ó ܈ iÛi˜ÌÕ>Þ }œ œ˜Ìœ …ˆ}…iÀ i`ÕV>̈œ˜] LÕÌ œ˜Þ   >˜` ̅i ˜>̈œ˜ q >˜` ˆÌ½Ã V…i>«iÀ°» ­-Ì>vv Ài«œÀÌiÀ\ ¼ ̽à ̈“i
          ÃˆÝ Üˆ }À>`Õ>Ìi ܈̅ˆ˜ ÃˆÝ Þi>Àð /…œÃi ̅>Ì `œ }À>`Õ>Ìi ܈   for South Africans to ger their hands dirty if we are going to
          probably be swamped in student debt – and still jobless in   À>`ˆV>Þ ÌÀ>˜ÃvœÀ“ œÕÀ VœÕ˜ÌÀÞ½] ->ÌÕÀ`>Þ -Ì>À®°
          a country where youth unemployment is already one of the   7i >Ài ˜œ œ˜}iÀ ˆ˜ > Ž˜œÜi`}i‡L>Ãi` iVœ˜œ“Þ] LÕÌ >˜
          …ˆ}…iÃÌ ˆ˜ ̅i ܜÀ`°  Þ Ì…i ̈“i ̅iÞ }À>`Õ>Ìi] >Ì i>ÃÌ >   ˆ˜˜œÛ>̈œ˜ iVœ˜œ“Þ] >˜` ̅>Ì ˆÃ >à ˆ“«œÀÌ>˜Ì vœÀ ̅i LÕȘiÃÃ
          µÕ>ÀÌiÀ œv ̅i œLà ̅>Ì i݈ÃÌi` ܅i˜ ̅iÞ ÃÌ>ÀÌi` ÃÌÕ`ވ˜}   leaders to grasp as it is for the workers on the tools and on
          ܈ ˜œÌ i݈ÃÌ >˜Þ“œÀi° /…iÞ Üˆ Li Ài«>Vi` LÞ œLà ̅>Ì   ̅i Ŝ« yœœÀ°  ÕȘiÃà ÃV…œœÃ «>Þ >˜ ˆ˜VÀi`ˆLÞ ˆ“«œÀÌ>˜Ì
          most of us haven’t even envisaged yet. Our students will   role in shaping the kind of leaders we will need to help us
          have graduated straight into obsolescence. It is not their   enable the economic recovery – and inspire the growth we
          v>Տ̰ 7i ˆÛi ˆ˜ > ܜÀ` œv ՘«>À>ii` ۜ>̈ˆÌÞ] ՘ViÀÌ>ˆ˜ÌÞ]   ˜ii` ̜ ÃÕÃÌ>ˆ˜ ̅>̰ čÌ  i˜iÞ čvÀˆV>] Üi «Àˆ`i œÕÀÃiÛiÃ
          V…>œÃ  >˜`  >“Lˆ}ՈÌÞ°   "6  ‡£™  …>à  Lii˜  ̅i  }Ài>ÌiÃÌ   on building the leaders who will build the businesses that
          disruptor we have ever known in a world that is becoming   will build Africa. It starts with applying our unique ladder
          iÝ«œ˜i˜Ìˆ>Þ  “œÀi  `ˆÛiÀÃi  >˜`  “œÀi  Vœ“«iݰ  /…i  ÌÀÕi   of learning programme to reduce structural barriers to
          worry is that they are our future leaders – and they cannot   i`ÕV>̈œ˜]  ̅ˆÃ  VœÕ«i`  ܈̅  œÕÀ  «…ˆœÃœ«…Þ  œv  i>À˜ˆ˜}
          get jobs. They’re the ones we will be pinning our hopes   ܅ˆi  i>À˜ˆ˜}°  /…>˜ŽÃ  ̜   "6  ‡£™  >˜`  ̅i  œVŽ`œÜ˜
          on to build back better and power an economic recovery   ̅>Ì  vœœÜi`]  Üi  …>Ûi  `iVœœ˜ˆÃi`  œÕÀ  V>“«ÕÃ]  LÀˆ˜}ˆ˜}
          «Ài“ˆÃi` œ˜ VÀi>̈˜} «ÀœÃ«iÀˆÌÞ vœÀ iÛiÀޜ˜i] ˜œÌ ÕÃÌ Ì…i   i`ÕV>̈œ˜ ̜ ̅i Ài“œÌiÃÌ «>ÀÌà œv ̅i VœÕ˜ÌÀÞ] ۈÀÌÕ>Þ >˜`
          shareholders.
                                                              asynchronously.
           œ`iÀ˜ i>À˜ˆ˜} ˆÃ L>Ãi` œ˜ µÕ>ˆwV>̈œ˜Ã] VÀi`i˜Ìˆ>ˆÃ>̈œ˜
          >˜`  ˆviœ˜}  i>À˜ˆ˜}°  +Õ>ˆwV>̈œ˜Ã  ÌÀ>`ˆÌˆœ˜>Þ  œ«i˜  ̅i    `ÕV>̈œ˜ ˆÃ ̅i ŽiÞ Ìœ LÀi>Žˆ˜} œÕÌ œv ̅i VÞVi œv «œÛiÀÌÞ
          `œœÀ  ̜  œLÃ]  LÕÌ  ܅>Ì  œLö   Ì  œ˜Vi  ̜œŽ  £x  ̜  Óä  Þi>Àà   ̅>Ì Õ˜`iÀ«ˆ˜Ã œÕÀ  ˆ˜ˆ VœivwVˆi˜Ì] ܅ˆV… ˆÃ œ˜i œv ̅i ܜÀÃÌ
          for the technical skills you learnt to become obsolete. Now   in the world. SA does have the skills to power our reset
          that has been cut to 2 to 5 years. There’s also the high   after this great disruption – the problem is we don’t have
          barrier to entry in terms of both cost and geography to   enough. We need to massify the right education to unlock
          universities and universities of technology. Credentialisation   the potential that lies in every single one of us. There is a
          ˆÃ ̅i i>À˜ˆ˜} ÞœÕ `œ >Ì ÜœÀŽ] }iÌ̈˜} ˜iÜ ÃŽˆÃ ̜ >`>«Ì   plan. We just need leaders with the will to implement it.
          ̜  ˜iÜ  ÃÞÃÌi“à  >˜`  Ü>Þà  œv  ܜÀŽ]  ܅ˆi  ˆviœ˜}  i>À˜ˆ˜}
          is something that must be adopted by all of us if we are to


                                                                  IRMSA RISK REPORT • SOUTH AFRICA RISKS • EIGHTH EDITION  55
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