Page 58 - 2022 IRMSA Risk Report

SECTION 3: South Africa Top Risks continued

3.6 LARGE SCALE DISRUPTION OF ECONOMIC ACTIVITY RELYING ON STABLE SUPPLY OF UTILITIES
Õi ̜ -" ý `iLÌ LÕÀ`i˜Ã] œÜ «Àœ`ÕV̈ۈÌÞ iÛiÃÉ«>˜Ì >Û>ˆ>LˆˆÌÞ] ÏœÜ «Àœ}ÀiÃà œ˜ ՘L՘`ˆ˜}É
«ÀˆÛ>̈Ã>̈œ˜] ˆ} VœÃÌ œv >ÌiÀ˜>̈Ûià >˜` «œœÀ V>«>VˆÌÞÉVœ“«iÌi˜VˆiÃ] -č iÝ«iÀˆi˜Vià > Vœ“«iÌi
implosion of the infrastructure required to keep the economy going at a rate required to fund the
ÀiLՈ`ˆ˜} œv Ì i VœÕ˜ÌÀÞ] ÀiÃՏ̈˜} ˆ˜ vÕÀÌ iÀ `iVˆ˜ià ˆ˜ iVœ˜œ“ˆV }ÀœÜÌ ] ÃiÀۈVi `iˆÛiÀÞ >˜`
social cohesion.
FLAGS r ÕÀÀi˜Ì r ÕÌÕÀi SUCCESS STORY

FLAGS C F
č ,- * ÛNA
OWNING -/ /1/ " č č*č /9 NA ˜ ÓäÓ£] ˆÌ Ü>à >˜˜œÕ˜Vi` LÞ -č½Ã *ÀiÈ`i˜Ì Ì >Ì Ì i
OUR *" / - NA cap on self-generation of electricity without a licence
FUTURE
SCENARIOS FAKE IT č/ " č *" 9 NA ܈ vÕÀÌ iÀ ˆ˜VÀi>Ãi Ì i ˜Õ“LiÀ œv È}˜ˆwV>˜Ì «ÀˆÛ>Ìi
܈ Li À>ˆÃi` ̜ £ää 7° / ˆÃ “œÛi LÞ }œÛiÀ˜“i˜Ì
-" č " - "
UNTIL WE
generators in the country.
- ,6 6 ,9
MAKE IT, OR
The Durban South wastewater treatment works
NOT
(WWTW) that was inaugurated by Kader Asmal and
+1č /9
PERPETUAL
water from waste.
HANGOVER " " 9 ,œ˜˜ˆi >ÃÀˆÃ ˆÃ > ܜÀ` V>Ãà iÝ>“«i œv ÀiVœÛiÀˆ˜}
" č /, - NA
č/ č
The stable supply of utilities such as water and electricity are essential for all entities to contribute effectively to the economy.
v Ì iÃi >Ài `ˆÃÀÕ«Ìi` œ˜ > >À}i ÃV>i >˜` Vœ˜ÃˆÃÌi˜ÌÞ] Ì i˜ -č ܈ v>ˆ ̜ ÃiVÕÀi “ÕV ˜ii`i` œL‡VÀi>̈œ˜ >˜` iVœ˜œ“ˆV
}ÀœÜÌ ‡L>Ãi` ˆ˜ÛiÃ̓i˜Ìà -č >à iÝ«iÀˆi˜Vi` >˜ ˆ˜VÀi>Ș} ˜Õ“LiÀ œv `ˆÃÀի̈œ˜Ã œv iÃÃi˜Ìˆ> ÃiÀۈVià ÃÕV >à Ü>ÌiÀ >˜`
iiVÌÀˆVˆÌÞ œÛiÀ Ì i >ÃÌ `iV>`i° iëˆÌi ˆ˜VÀi>Ãi` i>`iÀà ˆ« >ÌÌi˜Ìˆœ˜] Ì iÃi `ˆÃÀի̈œ˜Ã Vœ˜Ìˆ˜Õi ̜ œVVÕÀ >˜`] ˆ˜ ܓi V>ÃiÃ]
>VViiÀ>Ìi° / i ˆ“«>VÌ œv Ì ˆÃ œ˜ ˆ˜ÛiÃ̜À ViÀÌ>ˆ˜ÌÞ ˆÃ È}˜ˆwV>˜Ì >à ˆÃ Ì i >LˆˆÌÞ œv LÕȘiÃà >˜` œÌ iÀ iÃÃi˜Ìˆ> ÃiÀۈVià ̜
operate. Lack of an integrated policy framework and parochial interests hamper progress.

TOP 5 CHALLENGES TO ACHIEVING TOP 5 RISK TREATMENT OPTIONS AND
TARGETS OPPORTUNITIES
£° >Ã̇ÌÀ>VŽ ՘L՘`ˆ˜} œv ˆ˜VՓLi˜Ì ṎˆÌˆià ̜ ˆ˜VÀi>Ãi
£° ˆ} iÛiÃ œv i݈Ã̈˜} `iLÌ >˜` ˜œ˜‡«>ޓi˜Ì Ü ˆV ÌÀ>˜Ã«>Ài˜VÞ >˜` LÀˆ˜} ˆ˜ ˜iÜ “>ÀŽiÌ «>ÞiÀð
>“«iÀÃ Ì i >LˆˆÌÞ œv }œÛiÀ˜“i˜Ì >˜` -" à ̜ “>ˆ˜Ì>ˆ˜ Ó° œ˜Ãˆ`iÀ ṎˆÌÞ ÃV>i `iÃ>ˆ˜>̈œ˜ ­Lˆ}}iÀ Ì >˜ £ää i}>
>˜` iÝ«>˜`° ˆÌÀi «iÀ `>Þ «>˜Ì® >Ì “Õ˜ˆVˆ«> iÛi ˆ˜ > “>œÀ Vœ>ÃÌ>
Ó° / i Vœ˜ÃÌ>˜Ì ÕLÀˆÃ Ì >Ì `iÃ>ˆ˜>̈œ˜ ˆÃ VœÃÌÞ >˜` VˆÌˆià ̜ ÀiÃ̜Ài Vœ˜w`i˜Vi >˜` Li v>ۜÕÀ>LÞ Vœ˜Ãˆ`iÀi` >Ã
iVœœ}ˆV>Þ ՘`iÈÀ>Li° -*6Ã ÜˆÌ >˜ >««ïÌi vœÀ «ÀˆÛ>Ìi ˆ˜ÛiÃ̓i˜Ì
ΰ -œÜ «Àœ}ÀiÃà œ˜ ՘L՘`ˆ˜} >˜` ˆ˜ÌÀœ`ÕVˆ˜} «ÀˆÛ>Ìi ΰ ƂVViiÀ>Ìi ˜>̈œ˜Üˆ`i] >`iµÕ>ÌiÞ v՘`i` Ü>ÌiÀ >˜`
ÃiV̜À «>ÞiÀð i˜iÀ}Þ ivwVˆi˜VÞ V>“«>ˆ}˜Ã° ƂVViiÀ>Ìi Ì i £ää 7 Ãiv‡
{° œÜ iÛiÃ œv «>˜Ì >Û>ˆ>LˆˆÌÞ° }i˜iÀ>̈œ˜ ˆ˜ˆÌˆ>̈Ûi
x° >`Ài `i«œÞ“i˜Ì Ì >Ì >à iÀœ`i` Ì i i˜ÌˆÀi ÌiV ˜ˆV> {° >Ûi VœÕ˜ÌÀÞ iÛi «>˜Ã vœÀ ˜iÜ ÌiV ˜œœ}ˆiÃ Ì >Ì >Ûi
vœÕ˜`>̈œ˜ œv > ̈iÀà œv }œÛiÀ˜“i˜Ì° Ì i «œÌi˜Ìˆ> ̜ Liˆ˜} œV>ˆÃi` >˜` ëÕÀ iVœ˜œ“ˆV }ÀœÜÌ
Ì ÀœÕ} «ÀœiVÌà ÃÕV >à }Àii˜ Þ`Àœ}i˜ >˜` Ã̜À>}i°
x° -Ìi« Õ« ***- Ì >Ì ˆ˜VÕ`i Ì i ÌÀ>˜ÃviÀ œv ΈÃ vÀœ“ *ÀˆÛ>Ìi ̜
*ÕLˆV° ˜Vi˜ÌˆÛˆÃi >˜`ɜÀ LÀˆ˜} L>VŽ ÀïÀi` >˜` i“ˆ}À>Ìi`
iÝ«iÀˆi˜Vi` ΈÃ ̜ >ÃÈÃÌ°
FACTS AND FIGURES

U Ƃ˜ Õ«`>Ìi œ˜ Ì i ÓääÓ `>Ì> ˆ˜ >̈œ˜> 7>ÌiÀ ,iÜÕÀVi -ÌÀ>Ìi}Þ] Ì >Ì ˆÃ Ã̈ Ì i vœÕ˜`>̈œ˜ œv > «>˜˜ˆ˜}] à œÜi` Ì >Ì ™n¯ œv
> ÃÕÀv>Vi Ü>ÌiÀ >` Lii˜ >œV>Ìi`] ÜˆÌ Ãœ“i L>Șà £Óä¯ œÛiÀ‡>œV>Ìi`°
U / i i˜iÀ}Þ >Û>ˆ>LˆˆÌÞ v>V̜À ­ Ƃ ® œv Μ“ «œÜiÀ ÃÌ>̈œ˜Ã >à `iVˆ˜i` È}˜ˆwV>˜ÌÞ œÛiÀ Ì i >ÃÌ Óä Þi>Àà >˜` Ì ˆÃ >“«iÀÃ
Ì i >LˆˆÌÞ Ìœ `œ ÀœṎ˜i “>ˆ˜Ìi˜>˜Vi œÀ ˆ˜VÀi>Ãià œ>`à i``ˆ˜}°
U ˜ ÓäÓä] Ì i i«>À̓i˜Ì œv 7>ÌiÀ >˜` ->˜ˆÌ>̈œ˜ iÃ̈“>Ìi` ,n™nL˜ Ü>à ˜ii`i` ̜ wÝ -Ƃ½Ã Ü>ÌiÀ >˜` Ã>˜ˆÌ>̈œ˜ ˆ˜vÀ>ÃÌÀÕVÌÕÀi
>˜` Ì >Ì Ì iÀi ÜiÀi viÜiÀ «iœ«i ÀiViˆÛˆ˜} Àiˆ>Li Ü>ÌiÀ ÃiÀۈViÃ Ì >˜ ˆ˜ £™™{°
SOURCES

https://mg.co.za/environment/2020-01-31-water-services-worse-than-in-1994/
https://mybroadband.co.za/news/energy/422122-eskom-power-station-shocker.html
South African National Energy Association NPC
SANEA Energy Risk Report 2021-22
56 IRMSA RISK REPORT • SOUTH AFRICA RISKS • EIGHTH EDITION