Page 45 - 2022 IRMSA Risk Report

South Africa Top Risks

SECTION 3: South Africa Top Risks continued

The child who is not embraced (iv) Democratic order. There is ample evidence that
Ì i ÕÞ ÓäÓ£ ՘ÀiÃÌ Ü>à Üi œÀV iÃÌÀ>Ìi`]
by the village will burn it down and it manipulated the environment and the
to feel its warmth. ÛՏ˜iÀ>Li° 7 ˆÃÌ Üi “>˜>}i` ̜ µÕi ˆÌ] ˆÌ
remains a ticking bomb and we could still see
uprisings in future.
/ i v>ˆi` ÃÌ>Ìi ÀˆÃŽ >à Lii˜ ܈`iÞ `ˆÃVÕÃÃi`]
ˆ˜VÕ`ˆ˜} ˆ˜ }œÛiÀ˜“i˜Ì ˆÌÃiv° / i -Ì>Ìi *ÀiÈ`i˜Ì (v) Local government performance. Although
>Ã] œ˜ ÃiÛiÀ> œVV>Ȝ˜Ã ˆ˜`ˆV>Ìi` Ì i ˜ii` ̜ `ÀˆÛi the November elections demonstrated
̜Ü>À`à > V>«>Li ÃÌ>Ìi° 7 i˜ `iw˜ˆ˜} Ì ˆÃ ÀˆÃŽ] Üi `i“œVÀ>VÞ >Ì ÜœÀŽ] Vœ>ˆÌˆœ˜Ã >Ûi v>ˆi` ̜
should consider the three arms of government as kick-off successfully
iëœÕÃi` ˆ˜ Ì i œ˜Ã̈ÌṎœ˜] ˜>“iÞ] Ì i ÝiVṎÛi It should be acknowledged that some progress
­ >Lˆ˜iÌ®] i}ˆÃ>̈Ûi ­*>Àˆ>“i˜Ì® >˜` Õ`ˆVˆ>ÀÞ has been registered in bringing some perpetrators
(Courts of law). All arms are critical to a capable œv VœÀÀի̈œ˜ ̜ >VVœÕ˜Ì] i°}° ˆ˜ Ì i 6 - ÃV>˜`>]
ÃÌ>Ìi >˜` œv VœÕÀÃi] ˆ˜ ÃÕÃÌ>ˆ˜ˆ˜} œÕÀ `i“œVÀ>VÞ° -Ìiˆ˜ œvv] ** ÃV>˜`>] œÜiÛiÀ] Ì i «>Vi œv «Àœ}ÀiÃÃ
The responsibilities and powers of each of the arms and the fact that these have led to few arrests is
œv ÃÌ>Ìi >Ài Üi `œVՓi˜Ìi` ˆ˜ Ì i œ˜Ã̈ÌṎœ˜] disconcerting.
the most paramount of which is delivery of services
̜ Ì i «iœ«i° ˜ Ì ˆÃ Ài}>À`] Üi >Ûi Ãii˜ ÃiÛiÀ> ˜ Vœ˜VÕȜ˜] Ü ˆi Üi >Ûi Ì iÃi V >i˜}iÃ Ì >Ì
failures in ensuring service delivery. In several where LiÃiÌ Õà >˜` Ü ˆi Ì i ÀˆÃŽ œv > v>ˆi` ÃÌ>Ìi ˆÃ > Ài>ˆÌÞ]
`iˆÛiÀÞ >à Lii˜ >“«iÀi`] VœÀÀի̈œ˜] «œœÀ there are a number of opportunities available to turn
governance and maladministration have been found Ì ˆÃ >ÀœÕ˜`° Ì ˆV>] VœÕÀ>}iœÕà i>`iÀà ˆ«] iˆ“ˆ˜>̈˜}
to be a key contributing factor. A key feature of a cadre employment and appointing technocrats at all
V>«>Li ÃÌ>Ìi ˆÃ iÝiVṎœ˜] ˆ°i°] > œv Ì i >À“à œv iÛiÃ œv }œÛiÀ˜“i˜Ì] `i>ˆ˜} i>` œ˜ ÜˆÌ VœÀÀÕ«Ì
}œÛiÀ˜“i˜Ì iÝiVÕÌi >˜` iÝiVÕÌi Üi >˜` Ü iÀi œvwVˆ>Ã] ˆ“«ÀœÛˆ˜} }œÛiÀ˜>˜Vi] `i>ˆ˜} ÜˆÌ Vœ˜yˆVÌ
Ì iÀi >Ài v>ˆÕÀiÃ] Ì iÃi >Ài «Àœ“«ÌÞ >``ÀiÃÃi`° œv ˆ˜ÌiÀiÃÌ] ˆ“«ÀœÛˆ˜} ÃÕ««Þ V >ˆ˜ «ÀœViÃÃià >Ài
>ˆÕÀià ÌÞ«ˆV>Þ ˆ˜VÕ`i i>`iÀà ˆ«] VœÀÀի̈œ˜] some of the key steps that the ruling party should
V>`Ài i“«œÞ“i˜Ì] «œœÀ }œÛiÀ˜>˜Vi] >˜` ˆ˜ivwVˆi˜Ì concentrate on. We must now see this as our rallying
iÝiVṎœ˜° / iÃi “ÕÃÌ Li >``ÀiÃÃi` >à ܜ˜ >à point and use the same level of effort as we used to
Ì iÞ >Ài ˆ`i˜Ìˆwi`° v ivÌ Õ˜>ÌÌi˜`i` Ì iÞ i˜}i˜`iÀ À>Þ ˆ˜ Ì i w} Ì >}>ˆ˜ÃÌ >«>ÀÌ iˆ` ̜ ˜œÜ À>Þ >ÀœÕ˜`
mistrust and may lead to the society taking the law the build towards a capable state.
ˆ˜Ìœ Ì iˆÀ œÜ˜ >˜`Ã] œÀ}>˜ˆÃi` VÀˆ“i >à Üi >à VˆÛˆ
՘ÀiÃÌ° / i ÕÞ ÓäÓ£ ՘ÀiÃÌ ˆÃ > V>ÃÈV iÝ>“«i œv
the latter.
œÃÌ Vœ˜ViÀ˜ˆ˜} ˆÃ Ì i «>Vi >Ì Ü ˆV Üi à œÕ` Li
dealing with effecting consequence management
on the part of those who continue to perpetuate
corruption. Cabinet has approved the National
Anti-Corruption Strategy and what remains now
ˆÃ iÝiVṎœ˜° / i -ÌÀ>Ìi}Þ Vœ˜Ì>ˆ˜Ã ÃiÛiÀ> «ˆ>ÀÃ
which include the strengthening of anti-corruption
>}i˜VˆiÃ] iÌ ˆV> i>`iÀà ˆ«] «ÀœviÃȜ˜>ˆÃ>̈œ˜ œv
Ì i «ÕLˆV ÃiÀۈVi] ÃÌÀi˜}Ì i˜ˆ˜} Ì i Õ`ˆVˆ>ÀÞ >˜`
«Àœ>V̈Ûi˜iÃà ˆ˜ Ì i w} Ì >}>ˆ˜ÃÌ VœÀÀի̈œ˜°
Some key indicators of how this risk may play out in
the future are as follows:-
­ˆ® œÀÀի̈œ˜ Vœ˜Ìˆ˜Õià ՘>L>Ìi`]
perpertrators are not brought to book and
we become complacent and accept this as
the status quo.

(ii) Level of maladministration and poor quality
of governance in all sectors continue.
(iii) Lack of an integrated plan on how to address
these aspects.

IRMSA RISK REPORT • SOUTH AFRICA RISKS • EIGHTH EDITION 43