Page 32 - Risk Report 2024
P. 32

Scenario:


                   IRMSA
           32
   What it can look like if it happens now
                   RISK REPORT 2024/25

   DHA experiences a pervasive systems failure. No identity documents, passports, or visas can be processed. Affected citizens
   are unable to transact or access services for which proof of identify is required (e.g. registering marriages child births to add
   dependants on medical aids, hospitalisation, insurance claims, social grants, contracts, and purchasing of property). Those
   whose passports and visas cannot be processed are trapped in foreign countries and international work travel is interrupted.
   Citizenship applications, refugee and asylum services are not rendered leading to concentration at borders or illegal border
   crossings. Deaths cannot be registered leading to insurance payout delays, fraudulent accessing of grants, deceased estates not
   being executed with dependants unable to access crucial funding.
    Immediate resilience/emergency preparedness:


    Medium impact in the short term



       Safety and crime prevention                       Waste                               Health and
                                                     management                              education
     •   Develop/preserve crime
        investigation resources to achieve   •   Cultivate waste management and   •   Optimise fire, natural disasters, and
        case resolution targets and           recycling practices.                  other peril protection (including
        prosecution schedules.             •   Build effective waste management     unrest, strikes, and business
     •   Protect and diversify forensic/DNA   plants (with capacity aligned to      disruption) at hospitals and schools.
        facilities (refer alternative resource   population and environmentally   •   Protect supply chain and warehouse
        models in SADC region).               compliant treatment).                 facilities for pharmaceutical stocks
     •   Improve investigation efficiencies                                         and medical equipment.
        using AI; integrate crime reporting                                      •   Reallocate capacity to respond to
        and investigation databases to track                                        large scale perils per health and
        progress and allocate resources.                                            education facility location.
     •   Optimise prosecution resources to
        address full caseloads, cooperate
        with private prosecutors to fill gaps
        and address delayed cases.

       Infrastructure and logistics                 Communication                    Prioritised, honest, cost-
         development (roads, rail,                      channels                      effective services from
       bridges, harbours, airports)                                                 local authorities and State
                                           •   Implement national redundancy               organisations
     •   Implement medium- to long-           standards and capacity for
        term planning for road and rail       communication networks and data    •   Protect assets and infrastructure at
        infrastructure (response plans for    reinstatement.                        local authorities.
        storm damages to roads, railways,   •   Implement minimum resilience     •   Benchmark capacity development
        bridges).                             standards for major communication     per location aligned to population
     •   Enhance emergency response plans     and infrastructure service providers.  and service requirements.
        for catastrophes at airports and                                         •   Benchmark infrastructure funding
        harbours.                                                                   per local authority (budget, value
     •   Integrate technology to increase                                           procurement, projects).
        effectiveness/capacity and reduce
        maintenance and operating costs.

          Legal and governance              Environmental protection and                 Disaster support
      frameworks that are executed                   rehabilitation                          and relief
       consistently, timeously, and        •   Enforce limitation of major sources   •   Improve disaster management
                    fairly                    of air, water, and land pollution     through fast and efficient
     •   Enable multiple access for citizens   aligned to regulations.              classification of natural disaster
        to regional regulators (physical,   •   Implement immediate response        areas after disasters occur.
        calls, internet, email).              capacity for environmental         •   Implement immediate capacity and
     •   Implement cross regional capacity    disasters.                            personnel for disaster response.
        management.                        •   Enforce targeted environmental    •   Enable emergency fund access
                                              quality improvements at               for basic reinstatement of natural
                                              corporations and local authorities.   habitats, homes and loss of
                                                                                    personal effects.
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