Page 67 - 2022 IRMSA Risk Report
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South Africa Top Risks




          FACTS AND FIGURES

          U     -Ƃ ˆÃ À>˜Ži` }œL>Þ >à ̅i £Ó̅ >À}iÃÌ }Àii˜…œÕÃi }>à i“ˆÌÌiÀ] ܈̅ œ˜i œv ̅i …ˆ}…iÃÌ «iÀ V>«ˆÌ>  "  emissions
                                                                                                   Ó
              }œL>Þ°
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              Ìi“«iÀ>ÌÕÀià Ài>V…i` ˆ˜ ÓäÓ£ÉÓÓ ÃՓ“iÀ®°
          U   ,£Î£L˜ vœÀ -Ƃ ÃÕ««œÀÌi` «i`}i` LÞ  1]  iÀ“>˜Þ]  À>˜Vi] 1 ] >˜` 1- œÛiÀ ̅i ˜iÝÌ Î Ìœ x Þi>Àð
          SOURCES

           œœ“LiÀ}  Àii˜] ̅i i˜ÛˆÀœ˜“i˜Ì ÃiV̈œ˜ œv w˜>˜Vˆ> ÜiLÈÌi  œœ“LiÀ}] Ã>ˆ` ˆ˜ >  >ÀV… ÓäÓ£ Ài«œÀÌ
           ˆ˜Ó{ q ƂÀ̈Vi LÞ  >“iiâ "“>Àii] ££  >˜ ÓäÓÓ] µÕœÌˆ˜} -Ƃ 7i>̅iÀ -iÀۈViÃ
           >ˆÞ  >ÛiÀˆVŽ ƂÀ̈Vi LÞ  ̅i˜ 6>˜  ˆi“i˜] i˜ÌˆÌià  ÕÃÌ /À>˜ÃˆÌˆœ˜] ÓÈ  œÛ ÓäÓ£
          Centre for Environmental Rights. (2021). If we don’t take climate action now, this is what life in South Africa will look like https://cer.org.za/news/
          if-we-dont-act-now-on-climate-change-this-is-what-life-in-south-africa-will-look-like
          Institute for Security Studies. (2021). Urban South Africa is ill-prepared for the coming climate change storm https://issafrica.org/iss-today/
          urban-south-africa-is-ill-prepared-for-the-coming-climate-change-storm
          Department of Forestry, Fisheries & Environment. South Africa’s 2nd Climate Change Report https://www.dffe.gov.za/otherdocuments/reports/
          southafricas_secondnational_climatechange
          The Conversation. (2021). Climate Change has already hit Southern Africa.  Here’s how we know https://theconversation.com/climate-change-
          has-already-hit-southern-africa-heres-how-we-know-169062
          Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC).  2021. 6th Assessment Report:  Physical Science Basis https://www.ipcc.ch/report/sixth-
          assessment-report-working-group-i/
          *œˆÌÞ° ÓäÓ£° º-œÕ̅ ƂvÀˆV> ˆÃ ̅i ܜÀ`½Ã £Ó̅‡Lˆ}}iÃÌ ÃœÕÀVi œv }Àii˜…œÕÃi }>ÃiÃ]»  œœ“LiÀ}  Àii˜] ̅i i˜ÛˆÀœ˜“i˜Ì ÃiV̈œ˜ œv w˜>˜Vˆ>
          website Bloomberg, said in a March 2021 report. https://www.polity.org.za/article/south-africa-the-12th-biggest-source-of-greenhouse-gases-
          yes-but-thats-not-the-only-measure-that-matters-2021-04-19

                                                  EXPERT OPINION
















       Leo Long                     Dr. Storm Potts           Dr. Arthur Linke             Simon Van Wyk
       Climate Change Specialist, Head of Global Climate  Risk Intelligence                Risk Intelligence
       South African Forestry       Change and Policy,        Committee Member,            Committee Member,
       Company SOC Limited          SASOL Ltd                 IRMSA                        IRMSA


          Climate change means different things to different    ÝÌÀi“i Üi>̅iÀ iÛi˜Ìà ÅœÜ ̅>Ì Vˆ“>̈V ÀˆÃŽÃ >Ài
          «iœ«i]  ܈̅  >  VœÀÀi뜘`ˆ˜}  ˆ“«>VÌ  œ˜  ivvœÀÌà  ̜   ˆ˜VÀi>Ș}] >˜` ̅iÞ À>ˆÃi >Ü>Ài˜iÃà œv ̅i v>VÌ Ì…>Ì
          mitigate the impacts. Although Government has       SA is particularly vulnerable to changing weather
          “>`i  ܏ˆ`  ivvœÀÌà  ̜  `i>  ܈̅  >`>«Ì>̈œ˜]  i°}°   «>ÌÌiÀ˜Ã]  ÜVˆœ‡iVœ˜œ“ˆV  ÛՏ˜iÀ>LˆˆÌÞ]  Lˆœ`ˆÛiÀÈÌÞ
          ̅ÀœÕ}… «ÕLˆV ÃÌÕ`ˆiÃ] ̅i  >̈œ˜>  ˆ“>Ìi  …>˜}i   œÃÃ]  >˜`  …ˆ}…  iÛiÃ  œv  «œṎœ˜  «iÀ  V>«ˆÌ>°
          č`>«Ì>̈œ˜  -ÌÀ>Ìi}Þ]  >˜`  Üi‡v՘`i`  ÀiÃi>ÀV…  ܈̅   Considering SA’s current position and the global pace
          }œœ`  µÕ>ˆÌÞ  ˆ˜vœÀ“>̈œ˜]  -č½Ã  Vœ““ˆÌ“i˜Ìà  >Ài   œv  V…>˜}i]  Üi  ŜՏ`  Li  «>À̈VՏ>ÀÞ  Vœ˜ViÀ˜i`  >Ã
          ՘>“LˆÌˆœÕÃ]  >˜`  “œÀi  À>`ˆV>  V…>˜}ià  >Ài  ˜ii`i`°   temperatures in SA increase faster than in other parts
           œÀ -č ̜ ՘ˆvÞ œ˜ ̅ˆÃ ˆÃÃÕi] Üi “ÕÃÌ œÛiÀVœ“i ̅i   of the world. This fundamentally impacts organisations’
          notion that the discomforts of the present should   œ«iÀ>̈˜} Vœ˜`ˆÌˆœ˜Ã] i°}° «>˜Ìà œ«iÀ>̈˜} œÕÌÈ`i œv
          iÝVii` ̅i `ˆÃVœ“vœÀÌà œv “>Žˆ˜} ̅i V…>˜}i LivœÀi   ëiVˆwV>̈œ˜Ã] «œÌ>Li >˜` ˆ˜`ÕÃÌÀˆ> Ü>ÌiÀ >Û>ˆ>LˆˆÌÞÉ
          Üi >V̰  ˜ >``ˆÌˆœ˜] ¼>`>«Ì>̈œ˜½ Ü>à ˜œÌ >`iµÕ>ÌiÞ   Vœ˜ÃÌÀ>ˆ˜ÌÃ] …ˆ}…iÀ …i>Ì >˜` iÛ>«œÀ>̈œ˜] œÜiÀ Ü>ÌiÀ
          Ài܏Ûi` >Ì  "*ÓÈ] Ü ˆÌ ˆÃ >˜ÌˆVˆ«>Ìi` ̜ Li …ˆ}… œ˜   µÕ>ˆÌÞ >˜` «ÕÀˆÌÞ] > i>`ˆ˜} ̜ ˆ˜VÀi>Ãi` œ«iÀ>̈˜}
          ̅i  "*ÓÇ >}i˜`>°                                   >˜`  “>ˆ˜Ìi˜>˜Vi  iÝ«i˜`ˆÌÕÀi]  Õ«}À>`ˆ˜}  œv  >ÃÃiÌÃ
                                                              ­>ÃÃiÌ …>À`i˜ˆ˜}®] >˜` VœÃÌÞ >`ÕÃ̓i˜Ì œv œ«iÀ>̈œ˜>
                                                              philosophies.


                                                                  IRMSA RISK REPORT • SOUTH AFRICA RISKS • EIGHTH EDITION  65
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