Page 66 - 2022 IRMSA Risk Report

SECTION 3: South Africa Top Risks continued

3.9 INADEQUATE RESPONSE TO CURRENT AND FUTURE CLIMATE CHANGE IMPACTS
Õi ̜ «œˆÌˆV>] ÜVˆ> >˜` iVœ˜œ“ˆV V >i˜}iÃ] -č `œià ˜œÌ Ài뜘` ̈“iœÕÃÞ >˜`ɜÀ >`iµÕ>ÌiÞ ̜
Ì i ˆ“«>VÌà œv VÕÀÀi˜Ì >˜` vÕÌÕÀi Vˆ“>Ìi V >˜}i ˆ“«>VÌÃ] i>`ˆ˜} ̜ ˆ˜VÀi>Ãi` ˆ˜iµÕ>ˆÌÞ] `iÌiÀˆœÀ>̈œ˜
in social cohesion and further marginalisation of the most vulnerable members of society.

FLAGS r ÕÀÀi˜Ì r ÕÌÕÀi SUCCESS STORY

FLAGS C F The South African Forestry Company SOC Limited
č ,- * NA (SAFCOL) has responded well to SA’s focus on
OWNING -/ /1/ " č č*č /9 }Àii˜ˆ˜} Ì i Vœ˜ÃÌÀÕV̈œ˜ ˆ˜`ÕÃÌÀÞ] i°}° Ì ÀœÕ}
OUR *" / - NA Vœ˜ÃÌÀÕV̈œ˜ ̈“LiÀ >à > Ài˜iÜ>Li “>ÌiÀˆ>] >˜`
researching trees adapted to changing climatic
FUTURE
SCENARIOS FAKE IT č/ " č *" 9 -" Ì` ­ ®] >à Lii˜ ViÀ̈wi` LÞ Ì i œÀiÃÌ
Vœ˜`ˆÌˆœ˜Ã° -č " ½Ã ÃÕLÈ`ˆ>ÀÞ] œ“>̈>˜` œÀiÃÌÃ
-" č " - "
UNTIL WE
Stewardship Council® (FSC®) (FSC® - C013832 –
MAKE IT, OR
- ,6 6 ,9
œÀiÃÌ >˜>}i“i˜Ì >˜` - Á‡ ääÇnäÈ q >ˆ˜ œv
NOT
ÕÃ̜`Þ® vœÀ Ó{ Vœ˜ÃiVṎÛi Þi>ÀÃ] >ÃÃÕÀˆ˜} VÕÃ̜“iÀÃ
+1č /9
PERPETUAL
ÜVˆ>] iVœ˜œ“ˆV >˜` i˜ÛˆÀœ˜“i˜Ì> ÃÌ>˜`>À`ð
HANGOVER " " 9 that its forests are managed according to responsible
" č /, - NA -č " ½Ã ˆ“>Ìi >˜}i ,i뜘Ãi -ÌÀ>Ìi}Þ >˜`
č/ č ÕÃÌ /À>˜ÃˆÌˆœ˜ *>˜ >Ài vÕÀÌ iÀ Liˆ˜} `iÛiœ«i` ̜
support the national climate change agenda.
ˆ“>Ìi ÀˆÃŽ >˜` VœÀÀi뜘`ˆ˜} iÝÌÀi“i Üi>Ì iÀ iÛi˜Ìà >vviVÌ }œÛiÀ˜“i˜Ì] LÕȘiÃÃ] >˜` > iÛiÃ œv ÜVˆiÌÞ] «>À̈VՏ>ÀÞ
>vviV̈˜} -č½Ã ÜVˆœ‡iVœ˜œ“ˆV Ài>ˆÌˆið 7ˆÌ ˆ˜VÀi>Ș}Þ ˜i}>̈Ûi ivviVÌà œv Vˆ“>Ìi V >˜}i }œL>Þ] -č ˆÃ >Ì > ̈««ˆ˜} «œˆ˜Ì]
Liˆ˜} «>À̈VՏ>ÀÞ ÛՏ˜iÀ>Li `Õi ̜ ˆÌà ˆ˜ iÀi˜Ì >Àˆ` }iœ}À>« Þ] Vœ“«iÝ ÃœVˆœ‡iVœ˜œ“ˆV v>LÀˆV] >˜` ϜÜ] ˆ˜>`iµÕ>Ìi Ài뜘Ãi
­>`>«Ì>̈œ˜ >˜` “ˆÌˆ}>̈œ˜®] Ü ˆV ܈ V>ÕÃi iÛiÀ‡ˆ˜VÀi>Ș} >˜` >`ÛiÀÃi iVœ˜œ“ˆV] i˜ÛˆÀœ˜“i˜Ì>] >˜` ÜVˆ> Vœ˜ÃiµÕi˜Við
/ i «ÕLˆV >˜` «ÀˆÛ>Ìi ÃiV̜Àà v>Vi > Vœ““œ˜ i˜i“Þ] ÀiµÕˆÀˆ˜} Vœ>LœÀ>̈Ûi ivvœÀÌà ̜ >`>«Ì >˜` “ˆÌˆ}>Ìi Vˆ“>Ìi V >˜}i
impacts.

TOP 5 CHALLENGES TO MITIGATING TOP 5 RISK TREATMENT OPTIONS AND
THIS RISK OPPORTUNITIES

£° œ“«ï˜} «ÀˆœÀˆÌˆià >˜` > >VŽ œv w˜>˜Vˆ> ÀiÜÕÀVià ̜ £° Ƃˆ}˜ œ˜ >˜` VœœÀ`ˆ˜>Ìi «ÕLˆV >˜` «ÀˆÛ>Ìi ÃiV̜À
ˆ“«i“i˜Ì >À}i V>«ˆÌ>‡ˆ˜Ìi˜ÃˆÛi “ˆÌˆ}>̈œ˜ “i>ÃÕÀið ÃÌ>Ži œ`iÀà œ˜ ՘ˆwi` Vˆ“>Ìi ÀˆÃŽ “ˆÌˆ}>̈œ˜ }œ>Ã >˜`
Ó° Ƃ ȏœi` >««Àœ>V ̜ “>˜>}ˆ˜} Vˆ“>Ìi ˆ“«>VÌà ̜}iÌ iÀ Ì>À}iÌð
ÜˆÌ “ˆÃÃi` œ««œÀÌ՘ˆÌˆià ̜ Vœ>LœÀ>Ìi œ˜ >À}i ÃV>i Ó° -iÌ “œÀi ÃVˆi˜Vi‡L>Ãi` >˜` >“LˆÌˆœÕà Ì>À}iÌà vœÀ ˜iÌ
ˆ˜ÌiÀÛi˜Ìˆœ˜Ã° âiÀœ i“ˆÃȜ˜Ã] >˜` Ìi“«iÀ>ÌÕÀi ÀˆÃi “ˆ˜ˆ“ˆÃ>̈œ˜°
ΰ *œÛiÀÌÞ] ˆ˜iµÕ>ˆÌÞ] >˜` ՘i“«œÞ“i˜Ì VœÕ«i` ÜˆÌ Ì i ΰ *ÕLˆV >˜` «ÀˆÛ>Ìi ÃiV̜À i>`iÀà ˆ« ̜ `ÀˆÛi œLiV̈Ûià ̜
ˆ“«œÀÌ>˜Ì Àœi œv ¼V>ÀLœ˜‡ i>ÛÞ½ ˆ˜`ÕÃÌÀˆià ̜ ˜>ÀÀœÜ Ì i Ài`ÕVi Vˆ“>Ìi V >˜}i ÀˆÃŽ°
ÜVˆœ‡iVœ˜œ“ˆV }>«° {° ,>ˆÃi >Ü>Ài˜iÃà œv Vˆ“>Ìi ÀˆÃŽ ivviVÌà `Õi ̜ ÀiVi˜Ì >˜`
{° ˜VÀi>Ș} «ÀiÃÃÕÀi œ˜ Ì i >}ÀˆVՏÌÕÀi ÃiV̜À] vœœ` «Àœ`ÕV̈œ˜ œ˜}œˆ˜} iÛi˜ÌÃ] ˆ˜VÀi>Ș} Ì i «ÀiÃÃÕÀi œ˜ ÃÕÃÌ>ˆ˜>LˆˆÌÞ
>˜` vœœ` ÃiVÕÀˆÌÞ° Ì>À}iÌà >˜` }œ>Ã°
x° -Ƃ½Ã ˆ} Àiˆ>˜Vi vœÀ iVœ˜œ“ˆV >V̈ۈÌÞ œ˜ V>ÀLœ˜ ˆ˜Ìi˜ÃˆÛi x° ˜>Li >˜` ˆ˜Vi˜ÌˆÛˆÃi ÃÕÃÌ>ˆ˜>Li «À>V̈Vià >˜` }Àii˜
ÌiV ˜œœ}ˆià >˜` ÀiÃՏÌ>˜Ì ˆ} V>ÀLœ˜ i“ˆÃȜ˜Ã° ˆ˜`ÕÃÌÀˆià ÃÕV >à Vœ˜ÃÌÀÕV̈œ˜] ÀiÌ>ˆ] iÌV°] Liޜ˜` Ì i
V >˜}ià ÀiµÕˆÀi` ˆ˜ ˜œÌœÀˆœÕÃÞ ¼`ˆÀÌÞ½ ÃiV̜Àð

64 IRMSA RISK REPORT • SOUTH AFRICA RISKS • EIGHTH EDITION